Analysis-Western powers were unable to secure shipping in the Red Sea. Hormuz will be harder

• / Western military efforts to protect Red Sea shipping lanes have struggled, raising concerns about even greater risks in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global oil chokepoint.
• / Disruptions in the Red Sea (e.g., Houthi attacks) have already forced costly rerouting of ships, increasing global trade delays and insurance costs, with Hormuz posing a far larger economic threat.
• / A conflict or blockade in the Strait of Hormuz could trigger severe oil price spikes, supply shortages, and broader economic instability, requiring urgent diplomatic or military contingency planning.

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